Why Facebook Will Destroy Google

First off, I know technical people love Google. They love the idea of all that intelligence and capital all flowing together and creating really exciting technology. However, I’d say that Facebook has been beating Google strategically for the past year.

The Internet’s Dirty Secret

The internet doesn’t run on top secret algorithms, or cool server technologies. Instead the internet runs on good old commerce. Five years ago, Google really innovated in this market, and created a new advertising that was extremely effective called Adwords.

Now, the market within Adwords is becoming too competitive. It simply isn’t the best bargain for advertising. Instead, Facebook has become the advertising innovator. They now give the best value for advertising dollar spent.

They have disrupted the market with their advertising solution.

Customer Building for Dummies

Facebook has built a platform for businesses to build customers, and permission marketing. Rather than paying to simply have people see your page, Facebook has innovated by letting you pay to have people “Like” your page, granting you access to start having a conversation with your potential customer.

In simple terms, Facebook is selling you a relationship with their marketing, and Google is selling you eyeballs with their marketing. You can guess which is more effective.

Technology Fragmentation On Google’s Side

Think about coming to the internet for the first time from a small business’ perspective. What tools would you need to get your company online?

For Google, you need  the following fragmented, painful tools:

  • Adwords – Pay to get people to your site, hopefully set up some way of capturing their information
  • Google Sites - Build a website, get your information up
  • Google Analytics - Test your advertising, see where your visitors are coming from, where the action points are at
  • Google Apps - Manage your online points of contact

And this is just a bare minimum to get up and running for a small business owner who has very little time to spare on technology. The fragmentation here is a real pain point.

Contrast this with Facebook’s Fan Page System:

  • Set up a Fan Page
  • Pay for Traffic
  • Use the Fan page to have a conversation with your customers

There is almost immediate entropy built in to Google’s Advertising Solutions if you’re not very sophisticated. On the other hand, Facebook’s platform is built to spread your business. Everyone who likes your page shows up in all their friend’s feeds.

Big bang for your advertising buck.

The Eyes Are Worth Less Every Day

My internet marketing friends are seeing this happen every day. The old reliable people who still clicked on Myspace ads are becoming more sophisticated. Everyone is becoming blind to the barrage of ads, even the basic web surfers.

Facebook’s advertising model is most certainly the way of the future. Only listening to the people your friends already trust.

Google’s Billion Dollar Mistake

Google’s strategy in advertising has been to track everything you do, and target ads at you based upon what pages you’ve seen, and what you’ve searched for. This does not create a better experience for the end user.

This creates paranoia for the end user.

But again, Google’s solution for everything human is a better algorithm, so damned if I don’t really need to see ads on every site I visit for my last search.

But Search Is Everywhere!

Do you know any women between the ages of 18 and 30? How many times do they check their Facebook profile on an average day?

I’d say Google is only providing on sort of information stream, one that isn’t targeted to our personal lives. Guys may be interested in searching algorithms all day, but girls are more interested in information streams from their social contacts.

And women are the future arbiters of commerce.

When All You Have is a Hammer…

Google’s only hammer is algorithms. Algorithms will solve every conceivable problem. But for their main customers (business owners), algorithms aren’t what they need. They need to start building relationships with new customers.

Google is ignoring their customers, and hasn’t been solving their needs very well for a long time. Instead, they try to let algorithms solve the problems of dealing with humans. And that is the last thing we humans want.

A world where you speak and the only thing that talks back is the algorithm.

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Entrepreneurs as Systems Designers

I realized recently that the most effective use of my time has become systems design. Most of my software projects suffer from entropy almost immediately, faltering without other people involved to spur them on. I can’t keep updating all the software and sites I want to write forever.

So now I’ve begun a completely new approach to the businesses and projects I take on. That is, I now have the following terms and conditions before I’ll touch any new project:

  • Other People’s Money
  • Other People’s Efforts
  • Other People’s Intelligence

Understand, I now understand that entropy is built into everything. If I don’t incorporate other people’s efforts and capital into my project, it’s too easy for them to wither away.

Business As Systems Design

So, instead of designing solutions in software, I like to view business as an opportunity to create new systems. These systems create new customers, and provide for their needs through creative application of other people’s talents.

Building a better world is a key motivation in my work. In doing so, in remains that the most important task of all is being a coach to others, including myself.

Business As Moral Imperative

So I don’t see business as a process of extracting a profit from as many potential customers as possible. I see business as a process of unlocking potentialities.

  • I take capital that would otherwise be invested in processes that were wasteful, and make them more efficient.
  • I take talented people who would otherwise be underutilized, and I push them to be better.
  • I take intelligence and ideas, and I apply them in ways that would otherwise not have been possible.

It is this flow and this design that really excites me. Because I see the potential within the organization to create better people, better products, and a better world.

Building Positive Feedback Loops

In essence, entrepreneurship is all about creating positive feedback loops. Becoming a systems designer, but the systems we are designing are actually life itself.

Getting even more meta, we are all reality designers, and our jobs as entrepreneurs is to create an even better reality than existed before.

Ycombinator itself is a great example of this systems design. Paul Graham is more of a coach and mentor to the people involved in the startup.

Focused on Unlocking the Potentials of People, Capital, and Ideas

Instead of focusing his efforts on building some new widget, he’s in the business of building new positive feedback systems. Unlocking the capital, the intelligence, and the wisdom to flow into new systems.

Truly effective people understand the wisdom in building self regulating systems, with positive feedback and growth continuing past the initial effort.

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